Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.207021 0.240125 0.276835 0.320572 0.371274 0.428225 0.497084
2025-06-08 0.153305 0.197099 0.250852 0.321722 0.412796 0.526044 0.677817
2025-06-15 0.126594 0.174683 0.237970 0.327439 0.450874 0.615515 0.852433
2025-06-22 0.104505 0.152741 0.219926 0.320462 0.467430 0.675004 0.991585
2025-06-29 0.089368 0.137280 0.207373 0.317554 0.486909 0.738270 1.141484
2025-07-06 0.078836 0.126613 0.199642 0.319617 0.512501 0.811805 1.314178
2025-07-13 0.073221 0.122483 0.200870 0.334958 0.559600 0.922694 1.558022
2025-07-20 0.067620 0.117453 0.199750 0.345890 0.600241 1.027182 1.803595
2025-07-27 0.062663 0.112742 0.198366 0.355829 0.639849 1.133750 2.064987
2025-08-03 0.057287 0.106536 0.193534 0.358880 0.667308 1.221814 2.303540
2025-08-10 0.051607 0.099020 0.185401 0.354767 0.680901 1.286014 2.505172
2025-08-17 0.045806 0.090539 0.174458 0.343940 0.680311 1.323401 2.659466
2025-08-24 0.043029 0.087633 0.173818 0.353156 0.720111 1.443223 2.992876
2025-08-31 0.039618 0.083063 0.169447 0.354484 0.744479 1.535908 3.283873
2025-09-07 0.037110 0.080006 0.167679 0.360786 0.779559 1.653761 3.641430
2025-09-14 0.033546 0.074277 0.159747 0.353093 0.783978 1.708151 3.868726
2025-09-21 0.030780 0.069936 0.154223 0.349887 0.797619 1.783469 4.151300
2025-09-28 0.028748 0.066980 0.151340 0.352161 0.823662 1.888698 4.514820
2025-10-05 0.028000 0.066860 0.154716 0.369077 0.885221 2.080674 5.105401
2025-10-12 0.026932 0.065861 0.155965 0.381131 0.936711 2.255155 5.675641
2025-10-19 0.025856 0.064712 0.156731 0.392090 0.986817 2.431949 6.273690
2025-10-26 0.024388 0.062424 0.154520 0.395454 1.018493 2.567585 6.784404
2025-11-02 0.022591 0.059098 0.149413 0.390919 1.029595 2.653360 7.176323